Safe
High-confidence favorites with solid model edge.
Favorite moneyline or spread with 58%+ model win rate.
Resumen del producto
Inteligencia deportiva transparente — cada pick con matemática que puedes auditar.
BetGenie combina cuotas en vivo, ratings de equipos y jugadores, y señales clasificadas para que veas el porqué detrás de cada recomendación — no solo el pick.
We publish one BGS equation, compare model probability to market odds, and paper-track results to calibrate over time. Freshness timestamps show when data last synced; admins can cross-check key stats against trusted sources on the verification dashboard.
Estado de sincronización en vivo → · Calendario de actualizaciones abajo →
Schedules, rosters, stats, odds, and lineups from trusted sources.
Overall grades plus injuries, weather, and matchup context.
Model probability vs market odds — safe picks and contrarian daggers.
One published score ranks every ticket; calibration learns from paper results.
High-confidence favorites with solid model edge.
Favorite moneyline or spread with 58%+ model win rate.
Contrarian underdog opposites when the model disagrees with the market.
Live underdog when a safe favorite looks overpriced.
Multi-leg combos built from safe legs, ranked by win probability and EV.
2–3 correlated legs with combined model probability and edge.
We combine licensed-style public feeds — never scraped social rumors as odds.
MLB stats, schedules, and historical archives
Schedules, scores, lineups, and standings
Moneyline, spread, and totals
Game-day weather for outdoor stadiums
Kalshi / Polymarket context where matched
Cuándo se actualizan los datos — no cómo los ejecutan los ingenieros. La actualización diaria completa apunta a Full daily after last game (poll every 20m from 22:00, fallback 06:00) · lean every 3h from 06:00 · morning 03:00–06:00. Página de estado en vivo →
| Qué | Cuándo | Por qué |
|---|---|---|
| Full daily update | Full daily after last game (poll every 20m from 22:00, fallback 06:00) · lean every 3h from 06:00 · morning 03:00–06:00 | Rosters, ratings, and ranked signals land before the morning slate. |
| Odds & live scores | Every 30 minutes, 8 AM–midnight | Lines move through the day; tighter refresh near game time. |
| Lineups | Morning + before first pitch | MLB lineups often post 2–4 hours before game time. |
| Season archives | Annual / on demand | Prior-year views for research — not live betting surfaces. |
| Datos | Última actualización | Frecuencia |
|---|---|---|
| Full daily update desactualizado | Sep 09, 11:10 PM | Next run ~Full daily after last game (poll every 20m from 22:00, fallback 06:00) · lean every 3h from 06:00 · morning 03:00–06:00 |
| Standings | Sep 10, 1:10 AM | Refreshed with the daily morning update |
| Players & ratings | Sep 10, 2:17 AM | Refreshed with the daily morning update |
| Odds revisar | Sep 09, 8:00 PM | Every 30 minutes from 6 AM through game hours |
| Ranked signals | Sep 10, 1:28 AM | After the daily update completes |
| Schedules & games | Sep 10, 2:40 AM | Refreshed with the daily morning update |
| Lineups | Sep 10, 2:40 AM | Morning sync and again before first pitch |
IA local opcional (openai/gpt-oss-20b) añade explicaciones breves para las señales más destacadas a lo largo del día — con prioridad antes de la hora del partido. Pregunta lo que quieras en la página de Señales.
Status: Desconectado Las explicaciones aparecen cuando el servicio de IA está disponible.
5.0% of BetGenie proceeds are allocated to nonprofit organizations.
Every abbreviation used in BetGenie. Click or hover + para ver una ventana emergente; las secciones de abajo muestran el desglose completo.
BetGenie DNA
Bet personality fingerprint — sharp vs public lean, volatility, injury & weather sensitivity, and a short bet-style label (for example Public Darling for widely backed favorites).
Por qué está aquí: Answers what kind of bet this is (Value Hunter, Sharp Hammer, etc.) alongside BGS quality.
BetGenie Futures
Championship / win-it-all markets — one pick per league (Super Bowl, Stanley Cup, etc.) with model probability and BGS.
Por qué está aquí: Long-horizon portfolio plays tracked separately from daily singles and parlays.
BetGenie Score
Universal 0–100 ranking for singles and parlays from edge, confidence, matchup strength, and penalties.
Por qué está aquí: Sorts signals and parlays so the strongest model edges surface first — same formula for every user.
Team BetGenie Score
0–100 team power score blending win percentage, streak momentum, recent form, standings context, offense/defense balance, and resilience.
Por qué está aquí: Used on team ratings pages to show which teams are strongest right now beyond the raw win-loss record.
BetGenie Opportunity Score
0–100 score combining BGS, UVS, sharp influence, historical DNA similarity, line movement, and market inefficiency.
Por qué está aquí: Answers how attractive this opportunity is right now — tiers ELITE / PREMIUM / STRONG / WATCHLIST / STANDARD.
Betgeniefied pick
A pre-made ticket leg assembled entirely by BetGenie intelligence — not user-built.
Por qué está aquí: Marks Ultimate Futures Ticket rows and BGF hub favorites so you know the model chose them.
Closing line value
How your price compares to the closing market line (¢ or %). Beating the close is a long-term skill mark.
Por qué está aquí: Shown on tracked bets and intel when CLV is computed.
Cover Yourself
Hedge tickets placed before first pitch to recover when anchor parlay legs lose.
Por qué está aquí: Portfolio planner and parlay cards show CY proof counts and stake math.
Confidence
How strongly the model agrees with itself and the data quality behind the pick.
Por qué está aquí: Pairs with model % and edge on every ranked signal.
Day-to-day
Injury status: player may play but is not 100%; counted at half of OUT weight in UVS.
Por qué está aquí: Questionable/rest tags reduce favorite strength without assuming full absence.
Dagger tier
Contrarian underdog opposite when the model thinks the favorite is overpriced.
Por qué está aquí: Captures contrarian value without full UVS context; often paired with tank signals.
Expected Value
Model edge vs market-implied probability, often shown as % edge or dollars per $100 staked.
Por qué está aquí: Shows whether the model thinks the price is better than the sportsbook line.
Model edge
Difference between model win/cover probability and implied probability from the odds.
Por qué está aquí: Core input to BGS and signal gates — positive edge means the model likes the price.
Period markets
First-half or first-five-innings style markets (when enabled).
Por qué está aquí: Flag-gated expansion board — not always on for day-1 testers.
Model / calibrated hit chance
Probability the pick wins (or parlay hits), sometimes BGS-calibrated.
Por qué está aquí: Shown next to BGS on signals and parlays.
BetGenie Intelligence
Optional context around similar bets, matchups, and bet styles. Fills in after the board updates when available.
Por qué está aquí: Powers graph panels on signals/games pages when sync is healthy.
In-play signal
Market scored while the game is live (when live markets are enabled).
Por qué está aquí: Expires or resolves with the game; separate from pregame board.
Moneyline
Bet on which team wins outright (no spread).
Por qué está aquí: Primary market for safe, dagger, and underdog_value singles.
Model probability
BetGenie's estimated win or cover probability for the pick.
Por qué está aquí: Shown on signal cards and safe-bet tiles as model %.
Game total (over/under)
Combined score line for the game (both teams). Shown with the matchup (Away @ Home).
Por qué está aquí: Always pair the line with the game so you know which total to bet.
Out (injury)
Player ruled out — full injury weight in UVS when a star is missing.
Por qué está aquí: Star absences on the favorite boost underdog value signals.
Parlay
One ticket combining multiple legs — all must win for the bet to cash.
Por qué está aquí: Higher payout, lower hit rate; diversified by leg count and tier.
Player / team prop
A market on a player or team stat (hits, points, strikeouts, etc.), not just ML/spread.
Por qué está aquí: Props board and parlay legs always name the player or team so you know what to ticket.
Same-game parlay
Multiple legs from the same game on one ticket (model-priced when enabled).
Por qué está aquí: Create Parlay SGP tab when parlays.sgp_enabled is on.
Safe tier
High-confidence favorite-side picks (ML or spread) with strong model agreement.
Por qué está aquí: Default conservative profile — fewer legs, higher combined probability.
Special / novelty market
Non-standard or novelty markets (when specials are enabled).
Por qué está aquí: Flag-gated; may be sparse vs core props.
Point spread
Handicap line — favorite must win by more than the spread; underdog can lose by less and still cover.
Por qué está aquí: Second leg type for safe and value plays when the line offers better cover probability.
Team total (hits/points/runs)
Over/under on one team's counting stat for the game (e.g. team hits, team points).
Por qué está aquí: Labels include the team name — never a bare 'Team Totals' placeholder.
Teaser
Adjusted lines on multiple legs for lower odds (when teasers are enabled).
Por qué está aquí: Expansion market — enable in Feature rollout after dry-run.
Underdog Value Score
0–100 score for underdog tickets from line value, MLB pitcher mismatch, favorite injuries (OUT full, DTD half-weight), and tank context.
Por qué está aquí: Filters which underdogs are worth modeling vs noise; powers underdog_value singles and parlays.
Underdog value tier
UVS-qualified underdog singles and 2–3 leg parlays with explicit factor context.
Por qué está aquí: Smarter dogs than raw dagger — pitcher, injury, and line factors must clear gates.
Against the spread
Grades each finished game vs the closing point spread — not straight-up win/loss. Record is covers–no-covers–pushes (e.g. 10-32-1 means covered 10, failed 32, pushed 1). Cover % = covers ÷ (covers + no-covers).
Por qué está aquí: Team profiles show ATS history, home/away splits, and league rank; helps spot teams that beat or miss the number.
Bet intelligence
Decision snapshot: why we chose the bet, alternatives, and factor attribution after settle.
Por qué está aquí: Transparency layer for learning what worked.
Profit & loss
Net dollars won or lost on resolved bets (wins pay profit; losses are −stake).
Por qué está aquí: Tracks paper bankroll performance in the tracker.
Return on investment
Profit ÷ total amount staked on resolved bets, as a percentage.
Por qué está aquí: Standard way to compare performance independent of stake size.
Straight bet
Single-game moneyline or spread (not a parlay).
Por qué está aquí: Simpler resolution and calibration vs multi-leg tickets.
Score-verified result
Stored bet result was recomputed from final game scores and matches P&L.
Por qué está aquí: Confirms auto-resolve did not drift from official finals.
Wins–losses–pushes
Count of winning, losing, and push (tie/refund) bets.
Por qué está aquí: Quick record summary alongside win rate.
Games back
Games behind division leader in the standings.
Por qué está aquí: Context for playoff races and tank/rest incentives.
Last 10 games
Win–loss record over the most recent ten games.
Por qué está aquí: Recent form for momentum and streak context.
Playoff probability
Estimated chance to make the playoffs (from BBR/playoff odds feed).
Por qué está aquí: Shown on standings, teams, and ratings for season context.
Current streak
Consecutive wins (W) or losses (L).
Por qué está aquí: Quick read on hot/cold teams.
Doubles
Two-base hits.
Por qué está aquí: Extra-base power component.
Triples
Three-base hits.
Por qué está aquí: Speed + gap power.
At-bats
Official at-bats (excludes walks, HBP, sacrifices).
Por qué está aquí: Used for batting average.
Batting average
Hits ÷ at-bats.
Por qué está aquí: Classic hit skill; shown on rosters and leaderboards.
Walks (bases on balls)
Walks drawn.
Por qué está aquí: Plate discipline; boosts OBP.
Games
Games played.
Por qué está aquí: Volume of playing time.
Hits
Hits (batting).
Por qué está aquí: Contact and batting skill.
Home runs
Home runs.
Por qué está aquí: Isolated power; key for run expectancy.
On-base percentage
(H + BB + HBP) ÷ (AB + BB + HBP + SF).
Por qué está aquí: Getting on base — better than AVG for run creation.
On-base plus slugging
OBP + SLG.
Por qué está aquí: Single-number hitting quality; used in leaderboards and player grades.
Plate appearances
Times batter completed a plate appearance.
Por qué está aquí: Denominator for rate stats and qualifier rules.
Runs
Runs scored.
Por qué está aquí: Offensive production counting stat.
Runs batted in
Runs scored on a batter's play.
Por qué está aquí: Clutch production (team-dependent).
Stolen bases
Successful steals.
Por qué está aquí: Baserunning value.
Slugging percentage
Total bases ÷ at-bats.
Por qué está aquí: Power per at-bat.
Strikeouts
Strikeouts (batting).
Por qué está aquí: Contact vs swing-and-miss profile.
Total bases
Sum of bases on hits (1B=1, 2B=2, etc.).
Por qué está aquí: Raw power output.
Batters faced
Total batters faced.
Por qué está aquí: Volume for relievers and starters.
Complete games
Games finished by the starter.
Por qué está aquí: Durability / old-school workload.
Earned runs
Runs allowed that are 'earned' under scoring rules.
Por qué está aquí: Numerator for ERA.
Earned run average
(ER × 9) ÷ IP.
Por qué está aquí: Standard run-prevention rate.
Fielding independent pitching
ERA-like stat using K, BB, HR — strips some defense luck.
Por qué está aquí: Skill-based pitching view.
Games started
Games as starting pitcher.
Por qué está aquí: Separates starters from relievers.
Innings pitched
Outs recorded ÷ 3.
Por qué está aquí: Workload for starters and relievers.
Strikeouts (pitching)
Batters struck out.
Por qué está aquí: Displayed as SO in batting tables, K in pitching.
Losses
Losses charged to pitcher.
Por qué está aquí: Pair with W for record.
Shutouts
Games with zero runs allowed (complete).
Por qué está aquí: Dominant starts.
Saves
Saves (relief).
Por qué está aquí: Closer/high-leverage relief role.
Wins
Wins charged to pitcher.
Por qué está aquí: Team outcome stat (context-dependent).
Walks + hits per inning
(BB + H) ÷ IP.
Por qué está aquí: Baserunners allowed per inning.
Assists
Assists on outs.
Por qué está aquí: Range and positioning contribution.
Chances
Putouts + assists + errors.
Por qué está aquí: Total defensive opportunities.
Double plays
Double plays turned.
Por qué está aquí: Inning-ending efficiency.
Defensive runs saved
Runs saved vs average at position (estimate).
Por qué está aquí: Advanced defensive value.
Errors
Official scoring errors.
Por qué está aquí: Mistakes charged to fielder.
Fielding percentage
(PO + A) ÷ (PO + A + E).
Por qué está aquí: Reliability on chances — not range alone.
Innings (fielding)
Innings played at position.
Por qué está aquí: Playing time for defensive stats.
Putouts
Putouts recorded.
Por qué está aquí: Outs made unassisted or on fly/line force.
Range factor per 9 innings
(PO + A) × 9 ÷ innings.
Por qué está aquí: Activity level at position.
Estimated time of arrival (prospects)
Projected MLB debut window.
Por qué está aquí: Prospect timeline on team pages.
50th percentile latency
Median page load time — half of requests faster.
Por qué está aquí: Admin performance monitoring.
95th percentile latency
95% of loads finish within this time.
Por qué está aquí: Catches slow tail in perf probes.
Position
Player fielding position (e.g. SS, CF, SP).
Por qué está aquí: Filters ranks and roster views.
BetGenie provides educational sports analysis only. This is not financial or gambling advice. Check your local laws before placing real bets. Phase 1 uses paper trading only — no real-money bet placement.
Análisis educativo y apoyo a la decisión — no es asesoramiento financiero. Léelo antes de continuar.
Apuesta con responsabilidad. BetGenie cannot guarantee wins or profits. Past performance does not predict future results.
Esta plataforma te ayuda a tomar decisiones de apuesta más informadas. Eres el único responsable de todas las apuestas que realices y de cumplir las leyes aplicables en tu jurisdicción. Nunca apuestes más de lo que puedas permitirte perder.
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